Gaussian process regression with Student-t likelihood
نویسندگان
چکیده
In the Gaussian process regression the observation model is commonly assumed to be Gaussian, which is convenient in computational perspective. However, the drawback is that the predictive accuracy of the model can be significantly compromised if the observations are contaminated by outliers. A robust observation model, such as the Student-t distribution, reduces the influence of outlying observations and improves the predictions. The problem, however, is the analytically intractable inference. In this work, we discuss the properties of a Gaussian process regression model with the Student-t likelihood and utilize the Laplace approximation for approximate inference. We compare our approach to a variational approximation and a Markov chain Monte Carlo scheme, which utilize the commonly used scale mixture representation of the Student-t distribution.
منابع مشابه
Student-t Process Regression with Student-t Likelihood
Gaussian Process Regression (GPR) is a powerful Bayesian method. However, the performance of GPR can be significantly degraded when the training data are contaminated by outliers, including target outliers and input outliers. Although there are some variants of GPR (e.g., GPR with Student-t likelihood (GPRT)) aiming to handle outliers, most of the variants focus on handling the target outliers ...
متن کاملFiltering Outliers in Bayesian Optimization
Jarno Vanhatalo, Pasi Jylänki, and Aki Vehtari. Gaussian process regression with Student-t likelihood. In NIPS, pages 1910–1918, 2009. Amar Shah, Andrew Gordon Wilson, and Zoubin Ghahramani. Student-t processes as alternatives to Gaussian processes. In AISTATS, pages 877–885, 2014. Anthony O'Hagan. On outlier rejection phenomena in Bayes inference. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society. Seri...
متن کاملRobust Gaussian Process Regression with a Student-t Likelihood
This paper considers the robust and efficient implementation of Gaussian process regression with a Student-t observation model, which has a non-log-concave likelihood. The challenge with the Student-t model is the analytically intractable inference which is why several approximative methods have been proposed. Expectation propagation (EP) has been found to be a very accurate method in many empi...
متن کاملBayesian linear regression with Student-t assumptions
As an automatic method of determining model complexity using the training data alone, Bayesian linear regression provides us a principled way to select hyperparameters. But one often needs approximation inference if distribution assumption is beyond Gaussian distribution. In this paper, we propose a Bayesian linear regression model with Student-t assumptions (BLRS), which can be inferred exactl...
متن کاملVariational inference for Student-t MLP models
This paper presents a novel methodology to infer parameters of probabilistic models whose output noise is a Student-t distribution. The method is an extension of earlier work for models that are linear in parameters to nonlinear multi-layer perceptrons (MLPs). We used an EM algorithm combined with variational approximation, the evidence procedure, and an optimisation algorithm. The technique wa...
متن کامل